Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:15 •
Zira Stadium
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.27)
1.48 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.3% | 26.2% | 48.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Qarabag | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zira | 0 | 8.5% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zira | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 41% | 76% |
| Defense | 65% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zira | Qarabag | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| Wins | 42% | 45% | 43% | 62% | 78% | 68% |
| Draws | 50% | 27% | 39% | 23% | 11% | 18% |
| Loses | 8% | 27% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 14% |
ZiraDWWDWDDLWWDWWDLDDLWWLWD
QarabagLWDWWWWDWWWWDWLWLWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Zira | Qarabag | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 14 | 31 | 25 | 20 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 10 | 14 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zira | Qarabag | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 61% | 86% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 35% | 59% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 9% | 23% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zira | Qarabag | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zira | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zira | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 6-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zira | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 38.7% | 61.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away1.85 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
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