Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Azersun Arena
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
2.87 (league 1.22) 0.19 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
84.1% 7.6% 1.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
19.4%
3 - 0
18.5%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Kapaz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.4% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.5% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.3% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQarabagKapaz
Played55
Form67%0%
Attack91%18%
Defense82%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.416 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qarabag Kapaz
HATHAT
Played325246
Wins33%100%60%0%0%0%
Draws33%0%20%0%0%0%
Loses33%0%20%100%100%100%

Form: Qarabag: LWDWW • Kapaz: LLLLLL

League goals

Metric Qarabag Kapaz
HATHAT
GF total3710202
GF avg1.03.52.01.00.00.3
GA total20251419
GA avg0.70.00.42.53.53.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQarabagKapaz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%17%100%
1.560%0%17%100%
2.520%0%0%83%
3.520%0%0%17%
4.520%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQarabagKapaz
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score101145

Penalties

MetricQarabagKapaz
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricQarabagKapaz
Wins10
Draws10
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-5——
Biggest losses0-1—0-25-0
Goals For2520
Goals Against1035

Model comparison

MetricQarabagKapaz
Form100%0%
Att83%17%
Def89%11%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals94%6%
Total89.8%10.3%

Advice: Winner : Qarabag

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.11 @ William Hill
Draw13.00 @ Bet365
Away29.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.82 @ Pinnacle
No1.57 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qarabag = 2.87 (league 1.22), Kapaz = 0.19 (league 1.13)

Kapaz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qarabag 0 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.4% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.5% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.3% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 84.1% · Draw 7.6% · Away win 1.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1