Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 11:30 •
Shamakhi City Stadium
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.29)
2.70 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.2% | 13.3% | 73.8% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.2%
0 - 3
11.0%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Qarabag | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Şamaxı FK | 0 | 3.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 17% | 72% |
| Defense | 83% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 23% | 33% | 28% | 62% | 73% | 67% |
| Draws | 31% | 42% | 36% | 23% | 9% | 17% |
| Loses | 46% | 25% | 36% | 15% | 18% | 17% |
Form: Şamaxı FK: DLDWLDWLDLWDLWWLLWLDDDDWL • Qarabag: LWDWWWWDWWWWDWLWLWWWDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 11 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 48 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 19 | 8 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 56% | 83% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 36% | 58% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 25% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 6-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 19% | 81% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 23% | 77% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 34.7% | 65.7% |
Advice: Winner : Qarabag
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Şamaxı FK = 0.70 (league 1.29), Qarabag = 2.70 (league 1.17)
| Qarabag | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Şamaxı FK | 0 | 3.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.2% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 73.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1