Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 16:00 •
Bank Respublika Arena
Expected Goals
4.20 (league 1.26)
0.35 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
best score tips
4 - 0
13.7%
3 - 0
13.0%
5 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Karvan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sabah FA | 0 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.2% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 13.7% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Sabah FA carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 365 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Sabah FA +28.7, Karvan +11.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Sabah FA
vs
Karvan
Elo gapSabah FA +365
Home / draw / away73% / 18% / 9%
Expected home share89%
Combined Elo3104.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3104.8
Elo home share
89%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Sabah FA | Karvan |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1717.2 | 1387.6 |
| Form Elo | 1741.5 | 1391.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1569.1 | 1436.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1803.1 | 1411.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1634.2 | 1349.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +28.7 | +11.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Sabah FA last-5 Elo change: +28.7; Karvan last-5 Elo change: +11.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sabah FA | Karvan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 86% |
| Defense | 29% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sabah FA | Karvan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| Wins | 71% | 79% | 75% | 13% | 8% | 11% |
| Draws | 21% | 21% | 21% | 13% | 23% | 18% |
| Loses | 7% | 0% | 4% | 73% | 69% | 71% |
Sabah FAWLDWDWWDWWDWWWWWWWWWWDWWWWDW
KarvanDWLLLDLLLLLLLLDLLLLLLDDLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Sabah FA | Karvan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 32 | 35 | 67 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 27 | 30 | 57 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sabah FA | Karvan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 57% | 54% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 71% | 14% | 11% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 46% | 4% | 7% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 0% | 4% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sabah FA | Karvan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sabah FA | Karvan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sabah FA | Karvan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 10 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 8 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 0-5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 0-3 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sabah FA | Karvan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 92% | 8% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 77.2% | 22.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.19 @ 1xBet
Draw5.80 @ 1xBet
Away13.20 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.61 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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