Mon, Apr 27 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.27)
0.98 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.7% | 26.9% | 26.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.6%
2 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Zira | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Turan | 0 | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.1% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Turan carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 62 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Turan +17.3, Zira -5.8.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Turan
vs
Zira
Elo gapTuran +62
Home / draw / away45% / 23% / 32%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo3197.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3197.3
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Turan | Zira |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1611.9 | 1585.4 |
| Form Elo | 1634.1 | 1585.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1516.2 | 1555.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1530.8 | 1515.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1656.4 | 1603.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +17.3 | -5.8 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Turan last-5 Elo change: +17.3; Zira last-5 Elo change: -5.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Turan | Zira |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 17% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Turan | Zira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 15 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| Wins | 62% | 53% | 57% | 33% | 46% | 39% |
| Draws | 15% | 33% | 25% | 53% | 31% | 43% |
| Loses | 23% | 13% | 18% | 13% | 23% | 18% |
TuranWLWWLWWLWWDDDLWWLWDWWDWDWDWW
ZiraDWWDWDDLWWDWWDLDDLWWLWDLWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Turan | Zira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 19 | 38 | 20 | 17 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Turan | Zira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 46% | 82% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 18% | 32% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 4% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Turan | Zira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Turan | Zira |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Turan | Zira |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Turan | Zira |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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