Super League
— Zambia
Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 13:00 •
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.03)
0.42 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5% | 21.4% | 8.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
17.5%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Red Arrows | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ZESCO United | 0 | 11.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ZESCO United | Red Arrows |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 87% |
| Attack | 40% | 60% |
| Defense | 73% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ZESCO United | Red Arrows | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 67% | 20% | 38% | 100% | 40% | 73% |
| Draws | 33% | 20% | 25% | 0% | 60% | 27% |
| Loses | 0% | 60% | 38% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: ZESCO United: WDWWLLLD • Red Arrows: WDWWDWWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | ZESCO United | Red Arrows | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 20 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ZESCO United | Red Arrows | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 50% | 91% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 13% | 55% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 27% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ZESCO United | Red Arrows | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | ZESCO United | Red Arrows |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | ZESCO United | Red Arrows |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ZESCO United | Red Arrows |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24% | 76% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 48.7% | 51.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Red Arrows
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): ZESCO United = 1.75 (league 1.03), Red Arrows = 0.42 (league 0.72)
| Red Arrows | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ZESCO United | 0 | 11.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.5% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 8.2%
Vtot 7 , Vtod1