Red Arrows vs Man Utd Zambia Academy

Super League — Zambia

Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:00 • Nkoloma Stadium

Match Finished

Red Arrows

1 - 0

Man Utd Zambia Academy

Expected Goals

0.59 (league 1.02) 1.02 (league 0.73)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
20.7%	33.9%	45.4%

best score tips

0 - 1

20.5%

0 - 0

20.0%

1 - 1

12.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Man Utd Zambia Academy
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Red Arrows	0	20.0%	20.5%	10.5%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
	1	11.7%	12.0%	6.1%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	3.4%	3.5%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Red Arrows	Man Utd Zambia Academy
Played	3	5
Form	78%	67%
Attack	100%	100%
Defense	50%	75%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 2.3	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.7	1 \| 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%

FT probability

2.5+

45%

FT probability

3.5+

32%

FT probability

BTTS

59%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Red Arrows			Man Utd Zambia Academy
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	1	3	3	2	5
Wins	100%	0%	67%	33%	100%	60%
Draws	0%	100%	33%	33%	0%	20%
Loses	0%	0%	0%	33%	0%	20%

Form: Red Arrows: WDW • Man Utd Zambia Academy: DWWWL

League goals

Metric	Red Arrows			Man Utd Zambia Academy
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	6	1	7	1	3	4
GF avg	3.0	1.0	2.3	0.3	1.5	0.8
GA total	1	1	2	1	0	1
GA avg	0.5	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Red Arrows		Man Utd Zambia Academy
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	100%	67%	60%	20%
1.5	67%	0%	20%	0%
2.5	33%	0%	0%	0%
3.5	33%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Red Arrows			Man Utd Zambia Academy
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	2	2	4
Failed to score	0	0	0	2	0	2

Penalties

Metric	Red Arrows	Man Utd Zambia Academy
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Red Arrows	Man Utd Zambia Academy
Wins	1	3
Draws	1	1
Losses	0	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-1	—	1-0	0-2
Biggest losses	—	—	0-1	—
Goals For	4	1	1	2
Goals Against	1	1	1	0

Model comparison

Metric	Red Arrows	Man Utd Zambia Academy
Form	41%	59%
Att	64%	36%
Def	33%	67%
Poisson Distribution	0%	100%
H2h	62%	38%
Goals	55%	45%
Total	51.0%	49.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Man Utd Zambia Academy and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Red Arrows vs Man Utd Zambia Academy

Expected goals (λ): Red Arrows = 0.59 (league 1.02), Man Utd Zambia Academy = 1.02 (league 0.73)

		Man Utd Zambia Academy
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Red Arrows	0	20.0%	20.5%	10.5%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
	1	11.7%	12.0%	6.1%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	3.4%	3.5%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 45.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Red Arrows	Man Utd Zambia Academy
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0