Super League — Zambia
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 13:00 • Arthur Davies Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.03) 1.83 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 22.7% 56.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
11.1%
1 - 1
10.8%
0 - 2
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Nkwazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 6.1% 11.1% 10.2% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0%
1 5.9% 10.8% 9.9% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 2.8% 5.2% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMutondo StarsNkwazi
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack33%50%
Defense0%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

32%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mutondo Stars Nkwazi
HATHAT
Played145325
Wins100%0%20%0%0%0%
Draws0%25%20%33%100%60%
Loses0%75%60%67%0%40%

Form: Mutondo Stars: LLLWD • Nkwazi: LDDDL

League goals

Metric Mutondo Stars Nkwazi
HATHAT
GF total112123
GF avg1.00.30.40.31.00.6
GA total077325
GA avg0.01.81.41.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMutondo StarsNkwazi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%80%60%80%
1.50%40%0%20%
2.50%20%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMutondo StarsNkwazi
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricMutondo StarsNkwazi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMutondo StarsNkwazi
Wins10
Draws03
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0———
Biggest losses—3-01-2—
Goals For1111
Goals Against0321

Model comparison

MetricMutondo StarsNkwazi
Form57%43%
Att40%60%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nkwazi and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.88 @ William Hill
Away3.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ William Hill
No1.49 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mutondo Stars = 0.97 (league 1.03), Nkwazi = 1.83 (league 0.76)

Nkwazi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mutondo Stars 0 6.1% 11.1% 10.2% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0%
1 5.9% 10.8% 9.9% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 2.8% 5.2% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 56.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1