Super League — Zambia
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.03) 0.29 (league 0.72)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.6% 30.5% 8.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.9%
0 - 0
21.9%
2 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mutondo Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nkana 0 21.9% 6.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.9% 7.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNkanaMutondo Stars
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack18%27%
Defense73%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nkana Mutondo Stars
HATHAT
Played336246
Wins33%0%17%100%0%33%
Draws33%67%50%0%25%17%
Loses33%33%33%0%75%50%

Form: Nkana: DDWLLD • Mutondo Stars: LLLWDW

League goals

Metric Nkana Mutondo Stars
HATHAT
GF total202213
GF avg0.70.00.31.00.30.5
GA total213077
GA avg0.70.30.50.01.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNkanaMutondo Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%50%50%67%
1.50%0%0%33%
2.50%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNkanaMutondo Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score134033

Penalties

MetricNkanaMutondo Stars
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNkanaMutondo Stars
Wins11
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—1-0—
Biggest losses0-11-0—3-0
Goals For1011
Goals Against1103

Model comparison

MetricNkanaMutondo Stars
Form42%58%
Att40%60%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h64%36%
Goals63%38%
Total59.3%41.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nkana or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Superbet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away4.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.10 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.55 @ Betfair
No1.47 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nkana = 1.23 (league 1.03), Mutondo Stars = 0.29 (league 0.72)

Mutondo Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nkana 0 21.9% 6.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.9% 7.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.6% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1