Coppa Italia — Italy
Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 15:00 • Stadio Ennio Tardini
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.55) 0.05 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.5% 27.9% 1.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
33.8%
0 - 0
26.2%
2 - 0
21.8%
Score & goals probability table
Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 26.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.8% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParmaSpezia
Played11
Form100%33%
Attack14%7%
Defense100%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 21 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parma Spezia
HATHAT
Played101101
Wins100%—100%0%—0%
Draws0%—0%100%—100%
Loses0%—0%0%—0%

Form: Parma: W • Spezia: D

League goals

Metric Parma Spezia
HATHAT
GF total202101
GF avg2.00.02.01.00.01.0
GA total000101
GA avg0.00.00.01.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParmaSpezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.5100%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParmaSpezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricParmaSpezia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricParmaSpezia
Wins10
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0———
Biggest losses————
Goals For2010
Goals Against0010

Model comparison

MetricParmaSpezia
Form75%25%
Att67%33%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h85%15%
Goals69%31%
Total74.0%26.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Parma or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ 188Bet
Draw3.40 @ Betano
Away5.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parma = 1.29 (league 1.55), Spezia = 0.05 (league 0.68)

Spezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma 0 26.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 33.8% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.5% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 1.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1