Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.79 (league 1.56) 1.51 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.0% 11.2% 10.1%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.8%
4 - 1
6.5%
2 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pobeda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vardar Negotino 0 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.9% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.5% 6.8% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 4.3% 6.5% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.3% 4.9% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVardar NegotinoPobeda
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack29%10%
Defense5%52%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)20 | 410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vardar Negotino Pobeda
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins29%17%23%33%14%23%
Draws14%0%8%17%0%8%
Loses57%83%69%50%86%69%

Form: Vardar Negotino: WLLLWLLWLDLLL • Pobeda: LDLLLWLWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Vardar Negotino Pobeda
HATHAT
GF total118198412
GF avg1.61.31.51.30.60.9
GA total20244472633
GA avg2.94.03.41.23.72.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVardar NegotinoPobeda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%92%54%85%
1.538%77%31%54%
2.58%54%8%38%
3.58%38%0%23%
4.50%31%0%23%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVardar NegotinoPobeda
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score101246

Penalties

MetricVardar NegotinoPobeda
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVardar NegotinoPobeda
Wins12
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-01-2
Biggest losses1-88-12-38-1
Goals For4232
Goals Against8838

Model comparison

MetricVardar NegotinoPobeda
Form25%75%
Att75%25%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h64%36%
Goals55%45%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Vardar Negotino and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vardar Negotino = 3.79 (league 1.56), Pobeda = 1.51 (league 1.15)

Pobeda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vardar Negotino 0 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.9% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.6% 5.4% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.5% 6.8% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 4.3% 6.5% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.3% 4.9% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.0% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 10.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1