Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.59)
0.92 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.4% | 34.6% | 38.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.6%
0 - 1
18.1%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Ohrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Teteks | 0 | 19.6% | 18.1% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Ohrid carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 72 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Teteks -4.3, Ohrid +10.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Teteks
vs
Ohrid
Elo gapOhrid +72
Home / draw / away31% / 22% / 47%
Expected home share40%
Combined Elo3080.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3080.9
Elo home share
40%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Teteks | Ohrid |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1487.2 | 1593.7 |
| Form Elo | 1495.9 | 1606.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1526.9 | 1509.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1570.3 | 1749.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1431.8 | 1584.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -4.3 | +10.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Teteks last-5 Elo change: -4.3; Ohrid last-5 Elo change: +10.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Teteks | Ohrid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 29% | 58% |
| Defense | 71% | 88% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Teteks | Ohrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 67% | 15% | 40% | 69% | 67% | 68% |
| Draws | 17% | 8% | 12% | 31% | 8% | 20% |
| Loses | 17% | 77% | 48% | 0% | 25% | 12% |
TeteksLWLWLLDLLWLWLDWWLDWWLWLWL
OhridDLWWDWDWWWWWWWWWDLWWWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Teteks | Ohrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 22 | 41 | 38 | 26 | 64 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 32 | 38 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Teteks | Ohrid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 64% | 80% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 52% | 48% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 28% | 20% | 36% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 28% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Teteks | Ohrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Teteks | Ohrid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Teteks | Ohrid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-6 | 10-0 | 0-9 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 6-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Teteks | Ohrid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 40.7% | 59.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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