Sat, May 2 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.58)
4.88 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.8% | 5.7% | 54.1% |
best score tips
1 - 4
6.4%
1 - 5
6.3%
1 - 3
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Teteks | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pobeda | 0 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Teteks carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 133 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Pobeda -40.7, Teteks -5.8.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Pobeda
vs
Teteks
Elo gapTeteks +133
Home / draw / away26% / 18% / 56%
Expected home share32%
Combined Elo2788.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2788.3
Elo home share
32%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Pobeda | Teteks |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1310.4 | 1477.9 |
| Form Elo | 1275.2 | 1478 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1406.1 | 1452.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1287 | 1566.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1000 | 1431.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -40.7 | -5.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Pobeda last-5 Elo change: -40.7; Teteks last-5 Elo change: -5.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pobeda | Teteks |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 40% |
| Attack | 15% | 35% |
| Defense | 0% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 28 | 5.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
79%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pobeda | Teteks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 15% | 8% | 12% | 62% | 15% | 38% |
| Draws | 8% | 8% | 8% | 15% | 8% | 12% |
| Loses | 77% | 85% | 81% | 23% | 77% | 50% |
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TeteksLWLWLLDLLWLWLDWWLDWWLWLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Pobeda | Teteks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 22 | 42 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 45 | 49 | 94 | 8 | 32 | 40 |
| GA avg | 3.5 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pobeda | Teteks | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 38% | 88% | 81% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 73% | 42% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 58% | 27% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 42% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pobeda | Teteks | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pobeda | Teteks |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pobeda | Teteks |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 2-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-8 | 10-0 | 1-2 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 10 | 2 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pobeda | Teteks |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 20% | 80% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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