USL Super League
— USA
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 18:00 •
American Legion Memorial Stadium
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.00)
4.67 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.1% | 9.2% | 47.9% |
best score tips
1 - 4
5.0%
2 - 4
5.0%
1 - 5
4.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting JAX | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carolina Ascent W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carolina Ascent W | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 25% | 33% |
| Attack | 43% | 43% |
| Defense | 50% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carolina Ascent W | Sporting JAX | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 100% | 75% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 67% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Carolina Ascent W: DDDL • Sporting JAX: LWLD
League goals
| Metric | Carolina Ascent W | Sporting JAX | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carolina Ascent W | Sporting JAX | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carolina Ascent W | Sporting JAX | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carolina Ascent W | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carolina Ascent W | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carolina Ascent W | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 45.2% | 54.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sporting JAX and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Carolina Ascent W = 2.00 (league 1.00), Sporting JAX = 4.67 (league 0.96)
| Sporting JAX | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carolina Ascent W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.1% · Draw 9.2% · Away win 47.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1