USL Super League
— USA
Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 22:00 •
Toyota Stadium
Expected Goals
5.55 (league 1.01)
1.84 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
best score tips
5 - 1
5.0%
5 - 2
4.6%
4 - 1
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting JAX | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lexington W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lexington W | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 75% | 69% |
| Defense | 81% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lexington W | Sporting JAX | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 60% | 0% | 38% | 0% | 75% | 38% |
| Draws | 40% | 100% | 63% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Lexington W: DWDDWDDW • Sporting JAX: LWLDWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Lexington W | Sporting JAX | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 15 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lexington W | Sporting JAX | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 50% | 88% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 13% | 50% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 13% | 38% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lexington W | Sporting JAX | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lexington W | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lexington W | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | — | — | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-3 | — |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lexington W | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 62.8% | 37.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Lexington W or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lexington W = 5.55 (league 1.01), Sporting JAX = 1.84 (league 0.91)
| Sporting JAX | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lexington W | 0 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 5.8% · Away win 4.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1