Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 00:30 • Riverfront Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.01) 1.85 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.5% 22.0% 61.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.2%
0 - 2
12.2%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lexington W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tampa Bay Sun W 0 7.1% 13.2% 12.2% 7.5% 3.5% 1.3%
1 5.6% 10.4% 9.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 2.2% 4.1% 3.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTampa Bay Sun WLexington W
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack63%100%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tampa Bay Sun W Lexington W
HATHAT
Played37106410
Wins0%14%10%67%25%50%
Draws67%57%60%33%75%50%
Loses33%29%30%0%0%0%

Form: Tampa Bay Sun W: LLDLDDDDWD • Lexington W: DWDDWDDWWW

League goals

Metric Tampa Bay Sun W Lexington W
HATHAT
GF total381118523
GF avg1.01.11.13.01.32.3
GA total41014538
GA avg1.31.41.40.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTampa Bay Sun WLexington W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%70%50%
1.530%50%60%20%
2.50%10%40%10%
3.50%0%30%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTampa Bay Sun WLexington W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112235
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricTampa Bay Sun WLexington W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricTampa Bay Sun WLexington W
Wins11
Draws42
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-16-10-2
Biggest losses2-32-0——
Goals For2263
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricTampa Bay Sun WLexington W
Form39%61%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h100%0%
Goals76%24%
Total44.6%55.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lexington W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Bet365
Draw3.14 @ Pinnacle
Away2.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tampa Bay Sun W = 0.79 (league 1.01), Lexington W = 1.85 (league 0.91)

Lexington W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tampa Bay Sun W 0 7.1% 13.2% 12.2% 7.5% 3.5% 1.3%
1 5.6% 10.4% 9.7% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0%
2 2.2% 4.1% 3.8% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 61.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1