USL Super League
— USA
Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 19:00 •
Toyota Stadium
Expected Goals
2.97 (league 1.01)
0.79 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0% | 11.9% | 6.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
3 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Spokane Zephyr W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lexington W | 0 | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lexington W | Spokane Zephyr W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 7% |
| Attack | 100% | 25% |
| Defense | 38% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lexington W | Spokane Zephyr W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 67% | 20% | 45% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Draws | 33% | 80% | 55% | 14% | 57% | 36% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 29% | 43% |
Form: Lexington W: DWDDWDDWWWD • Spokane Zephyr W: LDDLWDWDWDLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Lexington W | Spokane Zephyr W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 6 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lexington W | Spokane Zephyr W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 55% | 57% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 18% | 21% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 18% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lexington W | Spokane Zephyr W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lexington W | Spokane Zephyr W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lexington W | Spokane Zephyr W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lexington W | Spokane Zephyr W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 92% | 8% |
| Att | 87% | 13% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 14% | 86% |
| Total | 59.2% | 40.8% |
Advice: Winner : Lexington W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lexington W = 2.97 (league 1.01), Spokane Zephyr W = 0.79 (league 0.91)
| Spokane Zephyr W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lexington W | 0 | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.0% · Draw 11.9% · Away win 6.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1