USL Super League
— USA
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 00:30 •
Riverfront Stadium
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 0.98)
3.22 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.2% | 15.7% | 50.6% |
best score tips
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 3
5.9%
2 - 2
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting JAX | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tampa Bay Sun W | 0 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tampa Bay Sun W | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 60% | 80% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tampa Bay Sun W | Sporting JAX | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 14% | 9% | 20% | 67% | 45% |
| Draws | 75% | 57% | 64% | 40% | 17% | 27% |
| Loses | 25% | 29% | 27% | 40% | 17% | 27% |
Form: Tampa Bay Sun W: LLDLDDDDWDD • Sporting JAX: LWLDWDWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Tampa Bay Sun W | Sporting JAX | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tampa Bay Sun W | Sporting JAX | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 82% | 91% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 45% | 64% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 27% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tampa Bay Sun W | Sporting JAX | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tampa Bay Sun W | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tampa Bay Sun W | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tampa Bay Sun W | Sporting JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sporting JAX
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tampa Bay Sun W = 2.05 (league 0.98), Sporting JAX = 3.22 (league 1.01)
| Sporting JAX | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tampa Bay Sun W | 0 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 50.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1