USL Super League
— USA
Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 22:00 •
Hodges Stadium
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 0.98)
1.43 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.7% | 23.4% | 31.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Tampa Bay Sun W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting JAX W | 0 | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting JAX W | Tampa Bay Sun W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 77% | 23% |
| Defense | 62% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting JAX W | Tampa Bay Sun W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 17% | 71% | 46% | 0% | 14% | 8% |
| Draws | 50% | 14% | 31% | 50% | 57% | 54% |
| Loses | 33% | 14% | 23% | 50% | 29% | 38% |
Form: Sporting JAX W: LWLDWDWDLWWWD • Tampa Bay Sun W: LLDLDDDDWDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Sporting JAX W | Tampa Bay Sun W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 18 | 25 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 8 | 12 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting JAX W | Tampa Bay Sun W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 69% | 69% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 62% | 46% | 23% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 31% | 0% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting JAX W | Tampa Bay Sun W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting JAX W | Tampa Bay Sun W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting JAX W | Tampa Bay Sun W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting JAX W | Tampa Bay Sun W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 77% | 23% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 69.0% | 31.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Sporting JAX W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sporting JAX W = 1.72 (league 0.98), Tampa Bay Sun W = 1.43 (league 1.00)
| Tampa Bay Sun W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting JAX W | 0 | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 31.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1