Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 19:00 • American Legion Memorial Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 0.98) 1.94 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 22.0% 53.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lexington W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carolina Ascent W 0 4.3% 8.4% 8.2% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.2% 10.1% 9.8% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.1% 6.0% 5.9% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarolina Ascent WLexington W
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack13%53%
Defense87%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carolina Ascent W Lexington W
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%38%33%50%29%40%
Draws29%38%33%50%71%60%
Loses43%25%33%0%0%0%

Form: Carolina Ascent W: DDDLLWDWWLWWLDL • Lexington W: DWDDWDDWWWDDDDW

League goals

Metric Carolina Ascent W Lexington W
HATHAT
GF total91019211031
GF avg1.31.31.32.61.42.1
GA total109198614
GA avg1.41.11.31.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarolina Ascent WLexington W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%80%80%67%
1.547%33%53%20%
2.513%7%33%7%
3.50%7%20%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarolina Ascent WLexington W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213235
Failed to score325123

Penalties

MetricCarolina Ascent WLexington W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCarolina Ascent WLexington W
Wins23
Draws34
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-26-11-3
Biggest losses3-41-0——
Goals For3263
Goals Against4223

Model comparison

MetricCarolina Ascent WLexington W
Form50%50%
Att20%80%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h75%25%
Goals69%31%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Carolina Ascent W or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Betano
Away2.87 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carolina Ascent W = 1.20 (league 0.98), Lexington W = 1.94 (league 1.01)

Lexington W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carolina Ascent W 0 4.3% 8.4% 8.2% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.2% 10.1% 9.8% 6.3% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.1% 6.0% 5.9% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
3 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 53.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1