Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 13:30 • Mxolisi Dicky Jacobs Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.74 (league 1.20) 0.82 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.6% 7.7% 4.1%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.2%
4 - 0
8.6%
3 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Baroka FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Upington City 0 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.4% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 7.5% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.6% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.4% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUpington CityBaroka FC
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack62%15%
Defense46%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Upington City Baroka FC
HATHAT
Played437448
Wins75%33%57%25%0%13%
Draws25%0%14%25%0%13%
Loses0%67%29%50%100%75%

Form: Upington City: WLWWLDW • Baroka FC: LWLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Upington City Baroka FC
HATHAT
GF total10212426
GF avg2.50.71.71.00.50.8
GA total64105712
GA avg1.51.31.41.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUpington CityBaroka FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%50%88%
1.557%43%13%63%
2.529%14%13%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUpington CityBaroka FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricUpington CityBaroka FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUpington CityBaroka FC
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-23-0—
Biggest losses—2-00-22-0
Goals For4231
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricUpington CityBaroka FC
Form91%9%
Att80%20%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total69.8%30.2%

Advice: Winner : Upington City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ 10Bet
Draw2.99 @ Pinnacle
Away3.58 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.63 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.45 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Superbet
No1.65 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Upington City = 3.74 (league 1.20), Baroka FC = 0.82 (league 0.92)

Baroka FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Upington City 0 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.4% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.2% 7.5% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.6% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.4% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.6% · Draw 7.7% · Away win 4.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1