Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 • Mafori Mphahlele Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.19) 1.30 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 25.0% 32.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
9.0%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lerumo Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baroka FC 0 5.9% 7.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.0% 11.7% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.0% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaroka FCLerumo Lions
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack43%100%
Defense0%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baroka FC Lerumo Lions
HATHAT
Played5510549
Wins40%0%20%40%25%33%
Draws20%0%10%20%25%22%
Loses40%100%70%40%50%44%

Form: Baroka FC: LWLDLLLLLW • Lerumo Lions: LWLDLLWWD

League goals

Metric Baroka FC Lerumo Lions
HATHAT
GF total7298412
GF avg1.40.40.91.61.01.3
GA total610165510
GA avg1.22.01.61.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaroka FCLerumo Lions
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%90%78%89%
1.520%60%33%22%
2.520%10%11%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaroka FCLerumo Lions
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricBaroka FCLerumo Lions
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBaroka FCLerumo Lions
Wins12
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—4-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-01-22-1
Goals For3142
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricBaroka FCLerumo Lions
Form30%70%
Att27%73%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total35.8%64.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lerumo Lions

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.24 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Unibet
No1.69 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.90 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baroka FC = 1.53 (league 1.19), Lerumo Lions = 1.30 (league 0.92)

Lerumo Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baroka FC 0 5.9% 7.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.0% 11.7% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.0% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 32.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1