Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:30 • Mafori Mphahlele Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.20) 1.98 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.1% 21.7% 47.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Black Leopards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baroka FC 0 3.0% 6.0% 6.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
1 4.6% 9.1% 9.0% 6.0% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.5% 6.9% 6.8% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.8% 3.5% 3.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaroka FCBlack Leopards
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack38%46%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baroka FC Black Leopards
HATHAT
Played66126511
Wins33%0%17%17%20%18%
Draws17%17%17%33%20%27%
Loses50%83%67%50%60%55%

Form: Baroka FC: LWLDLLLLLWLD • Black Leopards: LDDLLWLDWLL

League goals

Metric Baroka FC Black Leopards
HATHAT
GF total83115712
GF avg1.30.50.90.81.41.1
GA total811197714
GA avg1.31.81.61.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaroka FCBlack Leopards
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%92%55%91%
1.517%58%27%27%
2.517%8%18%9%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaroka FCBlack Leopards
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score235325

Penalties

MetricBaroka FCBlack Leopards
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBaroka FCBlack Leopards
Wins11
Draws12
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—3-01-4
Biggest losses0-23-00-32-1
Goals For3134
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricBaroka FCBlack Leopards
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h85%15%
Goals73%27%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : Baroka FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baroka FC = 1.51 (league 1.20), Black Leopards = 1.98 (league 0.92)

Black Leopards
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baroka FC 0 3.0% 6.0% 6.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
1 4.6% 9.1% 9.0% 6.0% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.5% 6.9% 6.8% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.8% 3.5% 3.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 47.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1