Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Thohoyandou Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.20) 0.83 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.3% 27.2% 22.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Baroka FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Black Leopards 0 10.6% 8.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 12.5% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.6% 8.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBlack LeopardsBaroka FC
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack57%71%
Defense0%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Black Leopards Baroka FC
HATHAT
Played78159716
Wins14%13%13%33%0%19%
Draws43%25%33%22%29%25%
Loses43%63%53%44%71%56%

Form: Black Leopards: LDDLLWLDWLLLDLD • Baroka FC: LWLDLLLLLWLDWLDD

League goals

Metric Black Leopards Baroka FC
HATHAT
GF total791611415
GF avg1.01.11.11.20.60.9
GA total91322101222
GA avg1.31.61.51.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBlack LeopardsBaroka FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%93%56%88%
1.527%40%19%44%
2.513%13%19%6%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBlack LeopardsBaroka FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score336437

Penalties

MetricBlack LeopardsBaroka FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBlack LeopardsBaroka FC
Wins11
Draws21
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-0—
Biggest losses0-33-10-23-0
Goals For3431
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricBlack LeopardsBaroka FC
Form25%75%
Att44%56%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h15%85%
Goals28%72%
Total34.2%65.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Baroka FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Superbet
Away3.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.48 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Black Leopards = 1.41 (league 1.20), Baroka FC = 0.83 (league 0.94)

Baroka FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Black Leopards 0 10.6% 8.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 12.5% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.6% 8.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 22.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1