Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:30 • Mafori Mphahlele Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.20) 0.71 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.1% 27.6% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
The Bees
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baroka FC 0 12.2% 8.6% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaroka FCThe Bees
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack50%70%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baroka FC The Bees
HATHAT
Played981710717
Wins33%0%18%50%0%29%
Draws22%38%29%20%29%24%
Loses44%63%53%30%71%47%

Form: Baroka FC: LWLDLLLLLWLDWLDDD • The Bees: WLWLDWDLDLLLWWLDL

League goals

Metric Baroka FC The Bees
HATHAT
GF total1151615419
GF avg1.20.60.91.50.61.1
GA total101323121022
GA avg1.11.61.41.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaroka FCThe Bees
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%88%76%71%
1.518%41%29%41%
2.518%6%6%12%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaroka FCThe Bees
HATHAT
Clean sheets202415
Failed to score437134

Penalties

MetricBaroka FCThe Bees
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBaroka FCThe Bees
Wins12
Draws11
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—3-1—
Biggest losses0-23-01-42-0
Goals For3131
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricBaroka FCThe Bees
Form46%54%
Att42%58%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total48.6%51.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or The Bees

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away4.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Superbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Baroka FC = 1.40 (league 1.20), The Bees = 0.71 (league 0.93)

The Bees
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baroka FC 0 12.2% 8.6% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 19.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1