Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:30 • Mafori Mphahlele Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.00 (league 1.20) 1.18 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.7% 29.1% 40.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.4%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Hungry Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baroka FC 0 11.3% 13.4% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.6% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaroka FCHungry Lions
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack14%43%
Defense86%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baroka FC Hungry Lions
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins40%0%20%50%40%45%
Draws20%40%30%40%20%30%
Loses40%60%50%10%40%25%

Form: Baroka FC: LWLDLLLLLWLDWLDDDWLD • Hungry Lions: LDWDWLLWWDWDLWWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Baroka FC Hungry Lions
HATHAT
GF total12517131124
GF avg1.20.50.91.31.11.2
GA total10142471017
GA avg1.01.41.20.71.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaroka FCHungry Lions
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%80%70%60%
1.515%35%45%15%
2.515%5%5%10%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaroka FCHungry Lions
HATHAT
Clean sheets314628
Failed to score459246

Penalties

MetricBaroka FCHungry Lions
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBaroka FCHungry Lions
Wins12
Draws31
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—2-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-33-2
Goals For3123
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricBaroka FCHungry Lions
Form43%57%
Att25%75%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Baroka FC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Pinnacle
Away3.65 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.34 @ Marathonbet
No1.53 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.78 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baroka FC = 1.00 (league 1.20), Hungry Lions = 1.18 (league 0.93)

Hungry Lions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baroka FC 0 11.3% 13.4% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.3% 13.3% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 5.6% 6.6% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 40.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1