Tue, Apr 7 2026 • 13:00 •
Harry Gwala Stadium
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.20)
0.39 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.7% | 32.6% | 12.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.8%
0 - 0
21.9%
2 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Baroka FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Midlands Wanderers | 0 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.8% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.0% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Midlands Wanderers | Baroka FC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 50% | 10% |
| Defense | 30% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Midlands Wanderers | Baroka FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 30% | 18% | 24% | 36% | 0% | 18% |
| Draws | 40% | 18% | 29% | 18% | 36% | 27% |
| Loses | 30% | 64% | 48% | 45% | 64% | 55% |
Form: Midlands Wanderers: WLLLLDLWDLDLLWDDWLWDL • Baroka FC: LWLDLLLLLWLDWLDDDWLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Midlands Wanderers | Baroka FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 18 | 25 | 11 | 19 | 30 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Midlands Wanderers | Baroka FC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 62% | 50% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 38% | 14% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 14% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Midlands Wanderers | Baroka FC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Midlands Wanderers | Baroka FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Midlands Wanderers | Baroka FC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Midlands Wanderers | Baroka FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 67.8% | 32.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Midlands Wanderers or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Midlands Wanderers = 1.13 (league 1.20), Baroka FC = 0.39 (league 0.90)
| Baroka FC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Midlands Wanderers | 0 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.8% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.0% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.7% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 12.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1