Midlands Wanderers vs Venda FC

1st Division — South-Africa

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 • Harry Gwala Stadium

Not Started

Midlands Wanderers

—

Venda FC

Expected Goals

0.87 (league 1.24) 0.62 (league 0.87)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
39.1%	36.4%	24.5%

best score tips

0 - 0

22.5%

1 - 0

19.6%

0 - 1

14.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Venda FC
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Midlands Wanderers	0	22.5%	14.0%	4.3%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	19.6%	12.2%	3.8%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	8.5%	5.3%	1.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	2.5%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Midlands Wanderers +5.4, Venda FC +3.0.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Midlands Wanderers Elo 1465.8 · +5.4

Venda FC Elo 1484.8 · +3.0

Elo gapMidlands Wanderers +16

Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%

Expected home share52%

Combined Elo2950.6

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2950.6

Elo home share 52%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Midlands Wanderers	Venda FC
Overall Elo	1465.8	1484.8
Form Elo	1473.4	1479
Home / Away Elo	1497.4	1481.9
Attack Elo	1410	1421.5
Defense Elo	1505.7	1573.1
Last 5 Elo change	+5.4	+3.0

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Midlands Wanderers last-5 Elo change: +5.4; Venda FC last-5 Elo change: +3.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Midlands Wanderers	Venda FC
Played	5	5
Form	47%	47%
Attack	67%	50%
Defense	17%	42%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%

FT probability

2.5+

38%

FT probability

3.5+

27%

FT probability

BTTS

55%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Midlands Wanderers			Venda FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	12	25	13	13	26
Wins	38%	17%	28%	38%	23%	31%
Draws	38%	17%	28%	31%	38%	35%
Loses	23%	67%	44%	31%	38%	35%

Midlands WanderersWLLLLDLWDLDLLWDDWLWDLWDLW

Venda FCDWLDLWDLDDWWLWWLDDLDLDLLWW

League goals

Metric	Midlands Wanderers			Venda FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	15	7	22	12	8	20
GF avg	1.2	0.6	0.9	0.9	0.6	0.8
GA total	12	21	33	12	12	24
GA avg	0.9	1.8	1.3	0.9	0.9	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Midlands Wanderers		Venda FC
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	64%	68%	65%	50%
1.5	20%	40%	12%	23%
2.5	4%	20%	0%	19%
3.5	0%	4%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Midlands Wanderers			Venda FC
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	3	8	6	7	13
Failed to score	4	5	9	3	6	9

Penalties

Metric	Midlands Wanderers	Venda FC
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Midlands Wanderers	Venda FC
Wins	1	2
Draws	2	2
Losses	4	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	0-1	2-0	0-2
Biggest losses	2-3	4-1	1-3	3-1
Goals For	3	1	2	2
Goals Against	3	4	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Midlands Wanderers	Venda FC
Form	50%	50%
Att	57%	43%
Def	41%	59%
Poisson Distribution	55%	45%
H2h	100%	0%
Goals	100%	0%
Total	50.8%	49.3%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Midlands Wanderers vs Venda FC

Metric	Midlands Wanderers	Venda FC
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0