Thu, Sep 18 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Cacique Diriangén
Match Finished
Expected Goals
9.82 (league 1.53) 1.44 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.9% 0.3% 0.1%
best score tips
5 - 1
1.4%
5 - 2
1.0%
5 - 0
1.0%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madriz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diriangén 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDiriangénReal Madriz
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack50%25%
Defense63%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Diriangén Real Madriz
HATHAT
Played167448
Wins100%50%57%50%25%38%
Draws0%17%14%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%29%50%75%63%

Form: Diriangén: WWWWLDL • Real Madriz: LWWLLLLW

League goals

Metric Diriangén Real Madriz
HATHAT
GF total61117459
GF avg6.01.82.41.01.31.1
GA total08841014
GA avg0.01.31.11.02.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDiriangénReal Madriz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%63%75%
1.557%43%50%50%
2.543%0%0%38%
3.529%0%0%13%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDiriangénReal Madriz
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricDiriangénReal Madriz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDiriangénReal Madriz
Wins42
Draws10
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-42-01-2
Biggest losses2-00-33-0
Goals For6422
Goals Against0234

Model comparison

MetricDiriangénReal Madriz
Form70%30%
Att67%33%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals80%20%
Total75.0%25.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Diriangén and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.29 @ Superbet
Draw5.94 @ 1xBet
Away10.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Diriangén = 9.82 (league 1.53), Real Madriz = 1.44 (league 0.99)

Real Madriz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diriangén 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.9% · Draw 0.3% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1