Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Carlos Fonseca Amador
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.53) 4.76 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.1% 4.2% 59.5%
best score tips
0 - 4
7.8%
0 - 5
7.5%
1 - 4
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Walter Ferretti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Matagalpa 0 0.4% 1.7% 4.2% 6.6% 7.8% 7.5%
1 0.3% 1.5% 3.5% 5.6% 6.6% 6.3%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.4% 2.8% 2.7%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMatagalpaWalter Ferretti
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack50%92%
Defense33%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Matagalpa Walter Ferretti
HATHAT
Played437426
Wins25%67%43%75%0%50%
Draws0%33%14%25%50%33%
Loses75%0%43%0%50%17%

Form: Matagalpa: WWLDLWL • Walter Ferretti: WLWWDD

League goals

Metric Matagalpa Walter Ferretti
HATHAT
GF total561114014
GF avg1.32.01.63.50.02.3
GA total8311527
GA avg2.01.01.61.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMatagalpaWalter Ferretti
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%67%67%
1.557%71%50%50%
2.514%0%50%0%
3.50%0%33%0%
4.50%0%17%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMatagalpaWalter Ferretti
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricMatagalpaWalter Ferretti
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMatagalpaWalter Ferretti
Wins22
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-26-2—
Biggest losses0-2——2-0
Goals For3260
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricMatagalpaWalter Ferretti
Form33%67%
Att35%65%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total34.6%65.4%

Advice: Winner : Walter Ferretti

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ 10Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.43 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Marathonbet
No2.16 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Matagalpa = 0.85 (league 1.53), Walter Ferretti = 4.76 (league 0.97)

Walter Ferretti
0 1 2 3 4 5
Matagalpa 0 0.4% 1.7% 4.2% 6.6% 7.8% 7.5%
1 0.3% 1.5% 3.5% 5.6% 6.6% 6.3%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.4% 2.8% 2.7%
3 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.1% · Draw 4.2% · Away win 59.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1