Mon, Sep 1 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Nacional de Fútbol
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.54) 2.89 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.9% 17.2% 50.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
6.4%
2 - 2
6.3%
1 - 3
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Jalapa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rancho Santana 0 0.8% 2.3% 3.3% 3.2% 2.3% 1.3%
1 1.5% 4.4% 6.4% 6.2% 4.5% 2.6%
2 1.5% 4.3% 6.3% 6.0% 4.4% 2.5%
3 1.0% 2.8% 4.1% 3.9% 2.8% 1.6%
4 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRancho SantanaJalapa
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack33%53%
Defense33%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rancho Santana Jalapa
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%25%14%50%0%29%
Draws0%25%14%0%0%0%
Loses100%50%71%50%100%71%

Form: Rancho Santana: LLDLLLW • Jalapa: LLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Rancho Santana Jalapa
HATHAT
GF total2467512
GF avg0.71.00.91.81.71.7
GA total5131871320
GA avg1.73.32.61.84.32.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRancho SantanaJalapa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%86%86%
1.514%57%57%86%
2.50%29%14%57%
3.50%29%14%43%
4.50%29%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRancho SantanaJalapa
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricRancho SantanaJalapa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRancho SantanaJalapa
Wins01
Draws10
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-14-2—
Biggest losses1-26-00-25-1
Goals For1242
Goals Against2635

Model comparison

MetricRancho SantanaJalapa
Form40%60%
Att38%62%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Jalapa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ 1xBet
Draw3.48 @ 1xBet
Away2.65 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Superbet
No2.21 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rancho Santana = 1.96 (league 1.54), Jalapa = 2.89 (league 1.00)

Jalapa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rancho Santana 0 0.8% 2.3% 3.3% 3.2% 2.3% 1.3%
1 1.5% 4.4% 6.4% 6.2% 4.5% 2.6%
2 1.5% 4.3% 6.3% 6.0% 4.4% 2.5%
3 1.0% 2.8% 4.1% 3.9% 2.8% 1.6%
4 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4% 0.8%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.9% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 50.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1