First League
— Armenia
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 10:30 •
Araks Stadium
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.61)
1.39 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.9% | 23.3% | 30.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Noah II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Araks Ararat | 0 | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Noah II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 16% | 53% |
| Defense | 68% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Noah II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 33% | 38% | 36% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Draws | 0% | 13% | 7% | 50% | 17% | 36% |
| Loses | 67% | 50% | 57% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
Form: Araks Ararat: LWWWLLWLLLDLWL • Noah II: DLDLWLDLLDLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Noah II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 21 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Araks Ararat | Noah II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 79% | 50% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 43% | 29% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 21% | 29% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 21% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Noah II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Noah II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Noah II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Araks Ararat | Noah II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 23% | 77% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Noah II
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Araks Ararat = 1.74 (league 1.61), Noah II = 1.39 (league 1.59)
| Noah II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Araks Ararat | 0 | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.9% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 30.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1