Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.46) 1.02 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 33.1% 42.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 0
17.7%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Estudiantes L.P.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 17.7% 18.1% 9.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.6% 12.8% 6.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.5% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack88%100%
Defense88%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flamengo Estudiantes L.P.
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%50%63%50%75%63%
Draws0%50%25%25%0%13%
Loses25%0%13%25%25%25%

Form: Flamengo: WLDDWWWW • Estudiantes L.P.: WLWWLWWD

League goals

Metric Flamengo Estudiantes L.P.
HATHAT
GF total5494812
GF avg1.31.01.11.02.01.5
GA total213235
GA avg0.50.30.40.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%25%88%25%
1.525%13%50%25%
2.50%0%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
HATHAT
Clean sheets336336
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricFlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricFlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
Wins12
Draws20
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-00-3
Biggest losses1-2—1-23-2
Goals For2223
Goals Against2123

Model comparison

MetricFlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
Form57%43%
Att47%53%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Flamengo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ Betano
Draw5.00 @ Bet365
Away13.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Betano
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.25 @ Dafabet
No1.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flamengo = 0.71 (league 1.46), Estudiantes L.P. = 1.02 (league 0.98)

Estudiantes L.P.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 17.7% 18.1% 9.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.6% 12.8% 6.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.5% 4.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 42.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1