Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.45) 0.51 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.8% 54.2% 33.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
49.0%
0 - 1
24.8%
1 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Flamengo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estudiantes L.P. 0 49.0% 24.8% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstudiantes L.P.Flamengo
Played55
Form47%100%
Attack55%73%
Defense55%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

47%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estudiantes L.P. Flamengo
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%60%56%80%50%67%
Draws25%0%11%0%50%22%
Loses25%40%33%20%0%11%

Form: Estudiantes L.P.: WLWWLWWDL • Flamengo: WLDDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Estudiantes L.P. Flamengo
HATHAT
GF total49137411
GF avg1.01.81.41.41.01.2
GA total257314
GA avg0.51.00.80.60.30.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstudiantes L.P.Flamengo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%33%89%33%
1.544%33%33%11%
2.511%11%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstudiantes L.P.Flamengo
HATHAT
Clean sheets336336
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricEstudiantes L.P.Flamengo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricEstudiantes L.P.Flamengo
Wins21
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-21-2
Goals For2322
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricEstudiantes L.P.Flamengo
Form32%68%
Att43%57%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total30.2%69.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Flamengo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ William Hill
Away2.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estudiantes L.P. = 0.21 (league 1.45), Flamengo = 0.51 (league 0.99)

Flamengo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estudiantes L.P. 0 49.0% 24.8% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.8% · Draw 54.2% · Away win 33.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1