Thu, Sep 4 2025 • 00:30 •
Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.57)
0.49 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% | 33.3% | 16.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.5%
0 - 0
20.8%
2 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Bahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Confiança | 0 | 20.8% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.5% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Confiança | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 80% |
| Attack | 75% | 100% |
| Defense | 100% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Confiança | Bahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 56% | 100% | 33% | 78% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 22% | 0% | 33% | 11% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 22% | 0% | 33% | 11% |
Form: Confiança: LWDLWWDWW • Bahia: WDWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Confiança | Bahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Confiança | Bahia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 33% | 78% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 22% | 67% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 44% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Confiança | Bahia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Confiança | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Confiança | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 5-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Confiança | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 52% | 48% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Confiança or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Confiança = 1.08 (league 1.57), Bahia = 0.49 (league 0.86)
| Bahia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Confiança | 0 | 20.8% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.5% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.0% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 16.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1