Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 20:30 • Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.57) 0.75 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.4% 25.8% 18.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.7%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Confiança
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bahia 0 10.3% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.7% 11.7% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.0% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBahiaConfiança
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack100%50%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bahia Confiança
HATHAT
Played64104610
Wins100%50%80%75%33%50%
Draws0%25%10%0%33%20%
Loses0%25%10%25%33%30%

Form: Bahia: WDWWWLWWWW • Confiança: LWDLWWDWWL

League goals

Metric Bahia Confiança
HATHAT
GF total186246511
GF avg3.01.52.41.50.81.1
GA total549459
GA avg0.81.00.91.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBahiaConfiança
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%90%40%
1.570%20%20%30%
2.550%0%0%10%
3.530%0%0%10%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBahiaConfiança
HATHAT
Clean sheets213336
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricBahiaConfiança
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBahiaConfiança
Wins32
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-42-00-1
Biggest losses2-01-42-1
Goals For5421
Goals Against2242

Model comparison

MetricBahiaConfiança
Form55%45%
Att67%33%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total62.7%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : Bahia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Betano
Draw5.00 @ Betano
Away8.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bahia = 1.53 (league 1.57), Confiança = 0.75 (league 0.86)

Confiança
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bahia 0 10.3% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.7% 11.7% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.0% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 18.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1