Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadion Lokomotiv
Expected Goals
5.46 (league 1.72)
0.33 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
best score tips
5 - 0
12.4%
4 - 0
11.3%
3 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Troyan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lokomotiv Mezdra | 0 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lokomotiv Mezdra | Troyan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 20% |
| Attack | 76% | 29% |
| Defense | 71% | 24% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lokomotiv Mezdra | Troyan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 75% | 83% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 100% | 83% |
Form: Lokomotiv Mezdra: WWWDWW • Troyan: LLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Lokomotiv Mezdra | Troyan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 11 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lokomotiv Mezdra | Troyan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 17% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 67% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lokomotiv Mezdra | Troyan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lokomotiv Mezdra | Troyan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lokomotiv Mezdra | Troyan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-5 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-4 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lokomotiv Mezdra | Troyan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 81% | 19% |
| Att | 72% | 28% |
| Def | 72% | 28% |
| Poisson Distribution | 95% | 5% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 80.0% | 20.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Lokomotiv Mezdra and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv Mezdra = 5.46 (league 1.72), Troyan = 0.33 (league 1.06)
| Troyan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lokomotiv Mezdra | 0 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.4% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.2% · Draw 1.2% · Away win 0.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1