Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 12:00 • BG Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.69) 3.00 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 16.9% 46.4%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.0%
2 - 3
6.0%
1 - 2
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Buriram United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bangkok United 0 0.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.5% 1.8% 1.1%
1 1.2% 3.6% 5.4% 5.4% 4.1% 2.4%
2 1.3% 4.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.5% 2.7%
3 1.0% 3.0% 4.4% 4.4% 3.3% 2.0%
4 0.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1%
5 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBangkok UnitedBuriram United
Played44
Form83%100%
Attack82%100%
Defense45%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 2.312 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.54 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bangkok United Buriram United
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%100%100%100%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Bangkok United: WDWW • Buriram United: WWWW

League goals

Metric Bangkok United Buriram United
HATHAT
GF total5497512
GF avg2.52.02.33.52.53.0
GA total336134
GA avg1.51.51.50.51.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBangkok UnitedBuriram United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%100%75%
1.575%50%100%25%
2.550%25%50%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBangkok UnitedBuriram United
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricBangkok UnitedBuriram United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBangkok UnitedBuriram United
Wins14
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-15-12-3
Biggest losses
Goals For3353
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricBangkok UnitedBuriram United
Form45%55%
Att43%57%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Buriram United and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.29 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away2.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.54 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bangkok United = 2.21 (league 1.69), Buriram United = 3.00 (league 1.25)

Buriram United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bangkok United 0 0.5% 1.6% 2.5% 2.5% 1.8% 1.1%
1 1.2% 3.6% 5.4% 5.4% 4.1% 2.4%
2 1.3% 4.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.5% 2.7%
3 1.0% 3.0% 4.4% 4.4% 3.3% 2.0%
4 0.5% 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1%
5 0.2% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 46.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1