Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 12:00 • Thung Talay Luang Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.69) 0.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.6% 38.1% 37.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.9%
0 - 1
19.9%
1 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Chiangrai United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sukhothai FC 0 24.9% 19.9% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.7% 11.8% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSukhothai FCChiangrai United
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack21%43%
Defense71%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sukhothai FC Chiangrai United
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%67%0%40%
Draws0%67%40%0%100%40%
Loses50%33%40%33%0%20%

Form: Sukhothai FC: LWDLD • Chiangrai United: DWLDW

League goals

Metric Sukhothai FC Chiangrai United
HATHAT
GF total213426
GF avg1.00.30.61.31.01.2
GA total224325
GA avg1.00.70.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSukhothai FCChiangrai United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%100%80%
1.50%20%20%20%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSukhothai FCChiangrai United
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricSukhothai FCChiangrai United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSukhothai FCChiangrai United
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-1
Biggest losses1-21-01-2
Goals For1121
Goals Against2121

Model comparison

MetricSukhothai FCChiangrai United
Form38%62%
Att33%67%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sukhothai FC or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ 188Bet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away3.37 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sukhothai FC = 0.59 (league 1.69), Chiangrai United = 0.80 (league 1.25)

Chiangrai United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sukhothai FC 0 24.9% 19.9% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.7% 11.8% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 38.1% · Away win 37.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1