Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 10:00 • Ayutthaya Province Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.66) 2.78 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.5% 15.6% 64.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 3
8.1%
0 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Buriram United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ayutthaya FC 0 1.9% 5.3% 7.4% 6.8% 4.8% 2.6%
1 2.3% 6.3% 8.7% 8.1% 5.6% 3.1%
2 1.3% 3.7% 5.1% 4.7% 3.3% 1.8%
3 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAyutthaya FCBuriram United
Played55
Form40%100%
Attack71%100%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

92%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ayutthaya FC Buriram United
HATHAT
Played235235
Wins0%33%20%100%100%100%
Draws100%33%60%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%0%0%0%

Form: Ayutthaya FC: LDWDD • Buriram United: WWWWW

League goals

Metric Ayutthaya FC Buriram United
HATHAT
GF total37107714
GF avg1.52.32.03.52.32.8
GA total369145
GA avg1.52.01.80.51.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAyutthaya FCBuriram United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%80%
1.560%60%100%20%
2.520%20%40%0%
3.520%0%20%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAyutthaya FCBuriram United
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAyutthaya FCBuriram United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAyutthaya FCBuriram United
Wins15
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-45-12-3
Biggest losses—3-1——
Goals For2453
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricAyutthaya FCBuriram United
Form29%71%
Att42%58%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total34.8%65.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Buriram United and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.00 @ Betfair
Draw6.09 @ Pinnacle
Away1.33 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ayutthaya FC = 1.18 (league 1.66), Buriram United = 2.78 (league 1.24)

Buriram United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ayutthaya FC 0 1.9% 5.3% 7.4% 6.8% 4.8% 2.6%
1 2.3% 6.3% 8.7% 8.1% 5.6% 3.1%
2 1.3% 3.7% 5.1% 4.7% 3.3% 1.8%
3 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.5% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 64.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1