Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 12:00 • 700th Anniversary Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.69) 1.84 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 21.1% 35.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Muangthong United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lamphun Warrior 0 2.1% 3.9% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.9% 5.3% 4.9% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.4% 2.7% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLamphun WarriorMuangthong United
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack64%55%
Defense0%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lamphun Warrior Muangthong United
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%33%17%67%0%33%
Draws67%0%33%0%67%33%
Loses33%67%50%33%33%33%

Form: Lamphun Warrior: LLDWDL • Muangthong United: WDWLLD

League goals

Metric Lamphun Warrior Muangthong United
HATHAT
GF total639437
GF avg2.01.01.51.31.01.2
GA total7714358
GA avg2.32.32.31.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLamphun WarriorMuangthong United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%83%67%
1.567%83%33%50%
2.50%33%0%17%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLamphun WarriorMuangthong United
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricLamphun WarriorMuangthong United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricLamphun WarriorMuangthong United
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-22-0
Biggest losses2-34-01-32-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricLamphun WarriorMuangthong United
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Muangthong United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.39 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.92 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.40 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lamphun Warrior = 2.01 (league 1.69), Muangthong United = 1.84 (league 1.25)

Muangthong United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lamphun Warrior 0 2.1% 3.9% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
1 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.9% 5.3% 4.9% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.4% 2.7% 2.4% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 35.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1