Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 12:00 • Chang Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.69 (league 1.66) 0.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.7% 14.1% 8.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.1%
3 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buriram United 0 3.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.2% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.7% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuriram UnitedNakhon Ratchasima FC
Played55
Form87%13%
Attack57%19%
Defense76%52%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buriram United Nakhon Ratchasima FC
HATHAT
Played448459
Wins75%100%88%0%20%11%
Draws25%0%13%50%40%44%
Loses0%0%0%50%40%44%

Form: Buriram United: WWWWWWDW • Nakhon Ratchasima FC: DWLDDDLLL

League goals

Metric Buriram United Nakhon Ratchasima FC
HATHAT
GF total111122156
GF avg2.82.82.80.31.00.7
GA total4595813
GA avg1.01.31.11.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuriram UnitedNakhon Ratchasima FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%88%44%78%
1.5100%25%22%56%
2.538%0%0%11%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuriram UnitedNakhon Ratchasima FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score000325

Penalties

MetricBuriram UnitedNakhon Ratchasima FC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBuriram UnitedNakhon Ratchasima FC
Wins61
Draws13
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-4—1-2
Biggest losses——0-23-1
Goals For5412
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricBuriram UnitedNakhon Ratchasima FC
Form87%13%
Att75%25%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h100%0%
Goals89%11%
Total78.8%21.2%

Advice: Winner : Buriram United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.18 @ Bet365
Draw8.00 @ Bet365
Away15.75 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.49 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buriram United = 2.69 (league 1.66), Nakhon Ratchasima FC = 0.80 (league 1.25)

Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buriram United 0 3.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.2% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.1% 8.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.7% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.7% · Draw 14.1% · Away win 8.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1