Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:00 • Thunderdome Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.66) 2.91 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.1% 14.2% 67.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 3
8.2%
0 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Buriram United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Muangthong United 0 1.9% 5.4% 7.8% 7.6% 5.5% 3.2%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.5% 8.2% 6.0% 3.5%
2 1.1% 3.2% 4.6% 4.4% 3.2% 1.9%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMuangthong UnitedBuriram United
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack25%75%
Defense38%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Muangthong United Buriram United
HATHAT
Played56115510
Wins40%0%18%80%80%80%
Draws20%50%36%20%0%10%
Loses40%50%45%0%20%10%

Form: Muangthong United: WDWLLDDDLLL • Buriram United: WWWWWWDWWL

League goals

Metric Muangthong United Buriram United
HATHAT
GF total5611131326
GF avg1.01.01.02.62.62.6
GA total711185914
GA avg1.41.81.61.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMuangthong UnitedBuriram United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%100%90%
1.527%55%100%30%
2.50%27%30%10%
3.50%9%20%10%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMuangthong UnitedBuriram United
HATHAT
Clean sheets303101
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricMuangthong UnitedBuriram United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricMuangthong UnitedBuriram United
Wins16
Draws31
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—5-11-4
Biggest losses1-43-1—4-2
Goals For2254
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricMuangthong UnitedBuriram United
Form17%83%
Att25%75%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h20%80%
Goals38%63%
Total29.0%71.2%

Advice: Winner : Buriram United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.25 @ 10Bet
Draw4.19 @ Pinnacle
Away1.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Muangthong United = 1.08 (league 1.66), Buriram United = 2.91 (league 1.25)

Buriram United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Muangthong United 0 1.9% 5.4% 7.8% 7.6% 5.5% 3.2%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.5% 8.2% 6.0% 3.5%
2 1.1% 3.2% 4.6% 4.4% 3.2% 1.9%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.1% · Draw 14.2% · Away win 67.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1