Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:30 • Thalay Luang Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.66) 0.80 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.6% 30.3% 24.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chonburi FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sukhothai FC 0 13.9% 11.1% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 13.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.6% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSukhothai FCChonburi FC
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack50%75%
Defense50%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sukhothai FC Chonburi FC
HATHAT
Played55106511
Wins40%0%20%17%20%18%
Draws40%60%50%33%60%45%
Loses20%40%30%50%20%36%

Form: Sukhothai FC: LWDLDDDWLD • Chonburi FC: DLDLLDDDWLW

League goals

Metric Sukhothai FC Chonburi FC
HATHAT
GF total7297512
GF avg1.40.40.91.21.01.1
GA total55108715
GA avg1.01.01.01.31.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSukhothai FCChonburi FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%64%91%
1.510%20%27%36%
2.510%0%9%9%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSukhothai FCChonburi FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score033224

Penalties

MetricSukhothai FCChonburi FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricSukhothai FCChonburi FC
Wins11
Draws33
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—4-21-2
Biggest losses1-22-01-23-0
Goals For3142
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricSukhothai FCChonburi FC
Form43%57%
Att40%60%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total51.5%48.5%

Advice: Double chance : Sukhothai FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Unibet
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away3.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sukhothai FC = 1.18 (league 1.66), Chonburi FC = 0.80 (league 1.25)

Chonburi FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sukhothai FC 0 13.9% 11.1% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 13.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.6% 7.7% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.6% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 24.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1