Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 12:30 • Leo Chiangrai Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.63) 0.57 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.0% 27.0% 14.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.4%
2 - 0
13.9%
0 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Muangthong United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chiangrai United 0 13.5% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 7.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChiangrai UnitedMuangthong United
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack55%18%
Defense73%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chiangrai United Muangthong United
HATHAT
Played65116612
Wins67%0%36%33%0%17%
Draws0%100%45%17%50%33%
Loses33%0%18%50%50%50%

Form: Chiangrai United: DWLDWDLDWWD • Muangthong United: WDWLLDDDLLLL

League goals

Metric Chiangrai United Muangthong United
HATHAT
GF total85135611
GF avg1.31.01.20.81.00.9
GA total459121123
GA avg0.71.00.82.01.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChiangrai UnitedMuangthong United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%73%67%75%
1.527%9%25%58%
2.50%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChiangrai UnitedMuangthong United
HATHAT
Clean sheets303303
Failed to score101224

Penalties

MetricChiangrai UnitedMuangthong United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricChiangrai UnitedMuangthong United
Wins21
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-0—
Biggest losses1-2—0-53-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against2153

Model comparison

MetricChiangrai UnitedMuangthong United
Form89%11%
Att75%25%
Def81%19%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total72.5%27.5%

Advice: Double chance : Chiangrai United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Unibet
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away3.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chiangrai United = 1.43 (league 1.63), Muangthong United = 0.57 (league 1.23)

Muangthong United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chiangrai United 0 13.5% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 7.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.6% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.0% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 14.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1