Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 15:00 •
Umuahia Township Stadium
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.46)
0.27 (league 0.58)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.7% | 39.2% | 11.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.1%
1 - 0
27.8%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Kwara United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Abia Warriors | 0 | 31.1% | 8.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.8% | 7.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Abia Warriors | Kwara United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 43% | 57% |
| Defense | 14% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
45%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Abia Warriors | Kwara United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 46% | 38% | 42% | 54% | 0% | 27% |
| Draws | 46% | 8% | 27% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| Loses | 8% | 54% | 31% | 15% | 69% | 42% |
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Kwara UnitedDLWDWLLDWDWDLDLWLWLLLLWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Abia Warriors | Kwara United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 8 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Abia Warriors | Kwara United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 50% | 50% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 19% | 27% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Abia Warriors | Kwara United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Abia Warriors | Kwara United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Abia Warriors | Kwara United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Abia Warriors | Kwara United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 58.7% | 41.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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