NPFL — Nigeria
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 15:00 • Kwara Sports Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.46) 0.43 (league 0.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.7% 21.8% 8.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
17.3%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Kano Pillars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Niger Tornadoes 0 11.6% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 8.6% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.3% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.0% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNiger TornadoesKano Pillars
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack14%50%
Defense36%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Niger Tornadoes Kano Pillars
HATHAT
Played131528151429
Wins69%7%36%67%7%38%
Draws23%13%18%20%14%17%
Loses8%80%46%13%79%45%
Niger TornadoesWLWLWLDDWWLLWLWLWLWLLWDDLLDL
Kano PillarsLDLWLWDLLLDLLWLWDWWWLLWLWDWLW

League goals

Metric Niger Tornadoes Kano Pillars
HATHAT
GF total2463019726
GF avg1.80.41.11.30.50.9
GA total7212882028
GA avg0.51.41.00.51.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNiger TornadoesKano Pillars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%61%62%66%
1.529%36%21%28%
2.511%4%7%3%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNiger TornadoesKano Pillars
HATHAT
Clean sheets92118210
Failed to score110113811

Penalties

MetricNiger TornadoesKano Pillars
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricNiger TornadoesKano Pillars
Wins23
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-00-1
Biggest losses1-23-00-22-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricNiger TornadoesKano Pillars
Form17%83%
Att22%78%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total46.3%53.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Betfair
Draw4.10 @ Pinnacle
Away9.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Marathonbet
No1.44 @ William Hill
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League standings

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