NPFL — Nigeria
Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 15:00 • Kwara Sports Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.46) 0.43 (league 0.58)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.7% 39.4% 17.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.4%
1 - 0
23.6%
0 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Nasarawa United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kwara United 0 28.4% 12.2% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.6% 10.1% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.8% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKwara UnitedNasarawa United
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack24%41%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-2
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kwara United Nasarawa United
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins53%6%29%69%20%45%
Draws33%25%29%25%27%26%
Loses13%69%42%6%53%29%
Kwara UnitedDLWDWLLDWDWDLDLWLWLLLLWLDDLWWDL
Nasarawa UnitedLWDWWWWWLLWDDWLWDDLLWWDDDLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Kwara United Nasarawa United
HATHAT
GF total1782523831
GF avg1.10.50.81.40.51.0
GA total7222981725
GA avg0.51.40.90.51.10.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKwara UnitedNasarawa United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%68%65%65%
1.526%16%26%13%
2.53%10%6%3%
3.50%0%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKwara UnitedNasarawa United
HATHAT
Clean sheets82108311
Failed to score510152911

Penalties

MetricKwara UnitedNasarawa United
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricKwara UnitedNasarawa United
Wins25
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-11-2
Biggest losses0-13-10-13-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against1313

Model comparison

MetricKwara UnitedNasarawa United
Form44%56%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total54.3%45.7%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…