Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 • Liv Bona Dea Arena
Match Finished
0 - 5
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.24) 1.72 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.0% 23.9% 50.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Araz 0 5.8% 9.9% 8.5% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.7% 6.4% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArazQarabag
Played43
Form83%44%
Attack64%27%
Defense73%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.83 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.82 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Araz Qarabag
HATHAT
Played134213
Wins100%67%75%0%100%33%
Draws0%33%25%50%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%33%

Form: Araz: DWWW • Qarabag: LWD

League goals

Metric Araz Qarabag
HATHAT
GF total257123
GF avg2.01.71.80.52.01.0
GA total123202
GA avg1.00.70.81.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArazQarabag
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%67%67%
1.575%0%33%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArazQarabag
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricArazQarabag
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricArazQarabag
Wins01
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-2—0-2
Biggest losses——0-1—
Goals For2212
Goals Against1110

Model comparison

MetricArazQarabag
Form71%29%
Att70%30%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h20%80%
Goals17%83%
Total43.6%56.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Qarabag

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away1.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Unibet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Araz = 1.13 (league 1.24), Qarabag = 1.72 (league 1.17)

Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Araz 0 5.8% 9.9% 8.5% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7%
1 6.6% 11.3% 9.7% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.7% 6.4% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.0% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 50.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1