Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:00 • Şəhər stadionu
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.25) 2.87 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.6% 12.7% 72.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.5%
0 - 3
10.0%
1 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qabala 0 2.5% 7.3% 10.5% 10.0% 7.2% 4.1%
1 2.0% 5.9% 8.4% 8.0% 5.8% 3.3%
2 0.8% 2.3% 3.4% 3.2% 2.3% 1.3%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQabalaQarabag
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack17%100%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Qabala Qarabag
HATHAT
Played68149615
Wins33%0%14%67%67%67%
Draws0%25%14%22%17%20%
Loses67%75%71%11%17%13%

Form: Qabala: DLLLWLLDLLLLWL • Qarabag: LWDWWWWDWWWWDWL

League goals

Metric Qabala Qarabag
HATHAT
GF total6410151530
GF avg1.00.50.71.72.52.0
GA total81119369
GA avg1.31.41.40.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQabalaQarabag
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%93%87%47%
1.521%43%60%13%
2.57%0%20%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQabalaQarabag
HATHAT
Clean sheets101628
Failed to score358202

Penalties

MetricQabalaQarabag
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total06

Streaks

MetricQabalaQarabag
Wins14
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—5-10-5
Biggest losses0-22-00-12-1
Goals For3255
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricQabalaQarabag
Form23%77%
Att13%87%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h7%93%
Goals13%87%
Total21.5%78.5%

Advice: Winner : Qarabag

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.00 @ 1xBet
Draw5.69 @ Pinnacle
Away1.28 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Qabala = 0.80 (league 1.25), Qarabag = 2.87 (league 1.13)

Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Qabala 0 2.5% 7.3% 10.5% 10.0% 7.2% 4.1%
1 2.0% 5.9% 8.4% 8.0% 5.8% 3.3%
2 0.8% 2.3% 3.4% 3.2% 2.3% 1.3%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 72.5%

vtt 5 , vtd1